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MOD

MOD drops 21% to SMA20 support and bounces — target $294.06

Golden Pit Reversal

As of: 2026-05-19

Watch$261.79 SMA20 — reclaiming that on a close confirms the recovery
RiskClose below $221.99 means the pit is deepening, not reversing
ConfidenceA

Visual view

MOD · Price map

Price map

Entry244.49
Stop221.99
Target294.06
Support232.31
Resistance261.79

Setup metrics

Score0.854
R/R2.203

Why now

Modine ran from the January base all the way to $294 in mid-May, then pulled back 21% to the 20-day moving average — exactly where buyers had stepped in on the two prior dips this year. The reversal candle has real body and volume was controlled on the down days. That's the setup I want.

How to think

  • Enter at $244.49 — reversal off SMA20 support
  • Stop $221.99 — below the pit low
  • Target $294.06 — prior high

What to watch

If MOD opens flat Tuesday and holds $240, that's a clean secondary entry. Don't chase a gap up.

Simple explanation

A 21% pullback from the May 14 high landing on the 20-day average. Volume was light on the down days, and Monday's reversal candle closed well off the low. Fresh signal — day zero of the reversal.

Risk

If MOD breaks below $232 again on a close, the reversal has failed. Stop at $221.99 gives one more test — not more.

FAQ

MOD just dropped 21% — why buy now instead of waiting?

The drop landed on SMA20 which held twice before this year. The reversal candle has body, not a doji, and volume dried up on the way down. Waiting longer usually means chasing after the easy entry is gone.

Pattern params and score explanation
Setup typeGolden Pit Reversal
PatternA 21% pullback from the May 14 high landing on the 20-day average. Volume was light on the down days, and Monday's reversal candle closed well off the low. Fresh signal — day zero of the reversal.
TimeframeDaily
Tagsgolden-pit, industrial, hvac, MOD, bull
{
  "price": 244.49,
  "priceLevels": {
    "entry": 244.49,
    "stop": 221.99,
    "target": 294.06,
    "support": 232.31,
    "resistance": 261.79
  },
  "metrics": {
    "score": 0.854,
    "rewardRisk": 2.203,
    "volumeRatio": 1.697
  },
  "patternParams": {
    "strict": true,
    "subtype": "reversal",
    "pitDepthPct": 21,
    "reversalBodyRatio": 0.512,
    "winStartDate": "2026-04-21",
    "recentHigh": 294.06,
    "pitBottom": 232.31
  }
}