SocialAlphas
A trader-first dashboard for actionable stock setups, not long-form content.
STRONG BUY
What happened?
1 Director bought $1.95M of ADBE stock on the open market between 2026-06-25, at an average price of $194.51 per share.
Why it matters.
Similar signals show a moderate win rate.
What history says.
50%
Win Rate (60d)+8%
Best (60d)Backtest on a minimal sample predicts 60d average return -3%, max gain +8%, with ~50% historical win rate.
What we're watching.
Follow the buy, target return -3%.
Historical Win-Rate & Return Distribution
Aggregated from all tracked insider cluster signals
| Horizon | Sample | Win Rate | Avg Return | Median | Best | Worst |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | Minimal | 0% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -1.6% | -2.2% |
| 20d | Minimal | 50% | -0.8% | +4.8% | +4.8% | -6.4% |
| 60d | Minimal | 50% | -2.7% | +8.0% | +8.0% | -13.4% |
* Historical performance is not indicative of future results. Not investment advice.